Abstract:

In the present investigation a descriptive analytical treatment is developed from a quantitative approach in the evaluation of the managerial competences related to successful decision making in schools and the aversion of risk taken by the school directors in that process. It is based on the hypothesis that risk aversion in the decision-making process inhibits the occurrence of successful decisions in the management of schools (Kanheman and Tsversky, 2002).

Uncertainty environments provide little information and favor in some managers the presence of conservative, mechanical and "automatic" decision-making styles, rather than fostering entrepreneurial and creative decision-making processes, whereby an acceptable level of risk is taken that encourages the initiative to the opportunities and threats of the context (Peña, 2006, Hanssen and Anderson, 2007). In other words, uncertainty environments generate in bad directors, a sort of cognitive illness (cognitive bias) that paralyzes and distances them from successful decisions (Guzman and Vides, 2013).

On the other hand, these environments of high uncertainty favor scenarios of proposals, innovation and creativity in good managers, acting despite the uncertainties, thus presenting zero aversion to risk (Jomah, 2017).

The objectives of the inquiry were:
-Describe the characteristics of the process of successful decision-making in environments of certainty and uncertainty, in the basic education managers of an educational sector of the state of Durango.
-Determine the measure and type of involvement in the successful decision-making in uncertain environments in the basic education managers of an educational sector of the state of Durango, on the part of those significant indicators of risk aversion in terms of directive decisions.
-Establish the significant differences in the different groups of classification of managers of basic education of an educational sector of the state of Durango according to their perceptions of the process of making successful managerial decisions in environments of uncertainty.

The method chosen to develop the research, its process of data collection and analysis, in order to respond to the objectives of the inquiry, is the deductive hypothesis method,(Domínguez, 2015, Cortez and Iglesias, 2004); Through which it is a question of solving a scientific problem by formulating certain predictions or assumptions called hypotheses on which evidence is given to contrast them and thus arrive at the determination of scientific findings or new knowledge on the subject under study.
In the present work, the central hypothesis that relates risk evasion in the decision-making process of educational managers with the successful decisions in their schools is presented, therefore the method that is enunciated has full application.

The technique used in this study is the one of survey, (Barraza, 2005, Casas Enguita et al., 2003).

The results point to the rejection of the null hypothesis, corroborating what was stated by the national and international literature in this field. An important finding shows that greater school autonomy corresponds to a lower level of risk aversion in school principals contributing to the presence of a greater number of successful decisions.

Keywords:

School principals, successful decisions, risk aversion.